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To
the casual observer, the world would seem to be awash in
wireless radio spectrum. When a tiny firm like
Charlottesville-based First Avenue Networks can snap up,
for a mere $105 million, the spectrum assets of a
company like Teligent, Inc., which had been valued at $4
billion at the height of the dot.com frenzy, surely
there must be an imbalance of supply and demand.
But
Dean Johnson, CEO of First Avenue, insists that there is
no glut of spectrum – only a shortage of profitable
business models for exploiting it. “Spectrum is going
to be in demand more than ever,” he asserts. Just
look at the phenomenal spread of wireless text
messaging, of Wi-Fi connections for laptops, and of
digital photos transmitted over cell phones. “There
are more bits than ever flying through the air – and
people love it!”
First Avenue’s
fortunes aren’t tied to the success of any one
wireless application. Having assembled a nationwide
footprint in the 39 Ghz frequency from Advanced Radio
Telecom and a gaggle of 24 Ghz licenses from Teligent,
Johnson is well positioned no matter which products and
services take off. His strategy: Lease the spectrum to
whomever has the best ideas for deploying it.
Says
Johnson: “People call us and say they want spectrum in
this area, and here’s our business model. We say,
‘OK, here’s a slice.’ We’ll lease [the spectrum]
to them for money. We’ll take equity in their company.
We’ll do whatever it takes to get that spectrum out
there and used.”
Bankruptcy
has purged dozens of telecom companies of their dot.com
excesses, stripping away debt, reducing employee count
and tightening their market focus. But their business
models have not changed radically. Most telecoms use the
same infrastructure, provide the same services and cater
to many of the same customers they always did.
First
Avenue, by
contrast, got out of the retail end of the business that
had bankrupted its predecessor, Advanced Radio Telecom.
Now it just leases spectrum to other telecom companies.
Perhaps
the most remarkable aspect of First
Avenue
is
its incredibly low overhead. Although the company owns
rights to spectrum valued far in excess of a hundred
million dollars, the company employs only three
employees – including Johnson. The burn rate is
extraordinarily low. “If it doesn’t work this year,
no problem,” says Johnson. “We have five years to
make it work. That’s an eternity in this industry.”
The
First
Avenue
story began when Ted
Weschler, founder of
Charlottesville-based Peninsula Capital Advisors, LLC,
and other investors purchased bonds in a struggling
Advanced Radio Telecom, a few years ago. The
Bellevue, Wash.,
wireless company filed for bankruptcy, but the
bond-holders managed to come out controlling it when it
emerged from bankruptcy. The new owners installed
Johnson, whom Weschler had backed in a local wireless
broadband venture in
Charlottesville, as
CEO.
Johnson
moved quickly. He relocated the headquarters to
Charlottesville,
extracted the company from its retail entanglements and
wound down the Bellevue
operation. He reduced head count
to three -- down
from 200 at the pre-bankruptcy Advanced Radio Telecom --
preferring to engage outside consultants and services
when he needed them rather than bringing on board a lot
of managerial talent and puffing up fixed overhead.
Finally, under the new name of First Avenue Networks, he
repositioned the company as an owner and lessor of
millimeterwave spectrum.
When
the Federal Communications Commission auctioned off the
radio spectrum in the 1990s, it envisioned that most
companies would own their piece outright. Initially,
there were no provisions for leasing it to someone else.
However, a regulatory precedent known as
“InterMountain Microwave” opened up the possibility
of leasing spectrum under certain, limited conditions.
Then in October 2003, the FCC kicked the leasing door
wide open.
The
2003 decision was crucial to the revitalization of the
wireless telecom industry, Johnson says. After the
dot.com crash, huge swathes of spectrum were tied up by
companies with failed business models – many of them
in complex bankruptcy proceedings. Short of buying out
entire companies, there was no easy way to put spectrum
in the hands of start-up companies with novel applications. The FCC ruling, Johnson explains,
“de-linked the spectrum from the failed business
models. It freed up spectrum to be reallocated to
up-and-coming business models.”
Now,
First
Avenue
can
parcel out spectrum to small, innovative companies in
smaller, less expensive batches. That way, Johnson hopes
to foster experimentation. If an application proves
economically viable, he’ll do everything he can to
help it spread.
The
Teligent acquisition expanded First
Avenue’s
offerings. He now sees three broad markets for his
spectrum:
Mobile
backhaul.
When you make a call on your cell phone, the signal goes
to a cell tower, where the cell phone operator
aggregates it with other calls and sends it to a
land-based facility where the calls are routed to their
proper destinations. Many cell phone
companies rely upon a local land-based carrier,
typically the incumbent phone company, to make that
connection. For example, Sprint has to rent capacity
from Verizon, for its “back haul” capacity.
Mobile
phone companies don’t like leasing from competitors, Johnson says. First of all, it’s costly.
Second of all, they telegraph their intentions to the
competition when they ask for a change in capacity. First
Avenue’s
spectrum is well suited to help wireless carriers
by-pass the incumbent carrier through a point-to-point
connection. Because it’s not a cellular business
itself, a wireless operator can be assured that it’s
not revealing any competitive intelligence to a
competitor.
Fiber
extension.
A company like MCI owns a robust fiber network running
through the United
States
but
it doesn’t hook up to every office building. The
telecom giant must rent copper line from incumbent
carriers to make the so-called “last mile”
connection. The local phone companies charge dearly for
the privilege.
First
Avenue’s
wireless spectrum can bridge the gap for a fraction of
the cost.
For
a company like MCI, leasing spectrum from First
Avenue
is a
no-risk proposition. It can readily identify the
costs, calculate the savings and determine a return on
investment. “It’s not like they’re trying to increase market share,” where they have to make a lot
of assumptions about how much new revenue they’ll
generate, Johnson says. “There’s nothing speculative about cutting
costs. It’s a known benefit to the bottom line.”
Wireless
ISPs. Mom-and-pop
wireless internet service providers (WISPs) are doing a
lot of innovative things. Johnson cites, for instance, a
wi-fi operator in the San
Francisco
Bay
area
that’s lined up roof-top rights to link a hospital to
the offices of its anesthesiologists and radiologists with high bandwidth service. Leasing
First
Avenue’s
bandwidth, the WISP can provide inexpensive T-1 and T-3
connections.
“We
haven’t cornered the market on good business ideas or
technology ideas,” Johnson says. “We’re relying on
the vitality of the marketplace” to come up with new
applications.
Of
course, other companies own bandwidth that can serve the
same markets as First
Avenue.
There’s nothing to stop them from duplicating
Johnson’s business model and going into competition
with them. But there may be big advantages to be the
first company into the market. Johnson will enjoy a
significant strategic advantage if he can persuade
telecom equipment suppliers to adapt their technology to
First
Avenue’s
24- and 39 GHz bandwidth.
It’s
a chicken and egg problem. Equipment suppliers don’t
want to invest capital in adapting their technology for
specific slices of the wireless spectrum unless
there’s a viable market. “Some
exciting technologies were withering on the vine,"
says Johnson, "because
they didn’t have spectrum available to them.”
Conversely, a particular
segment of
spectrum will be slower to develop its market if the
suppliers aren’t delivering state-of-the-art
equipment.
To
Johnson’s way of thinking, a slice of spectrum is less
attractive when it’s owned by a single company
dependent upon a single business model. What if that
company fails? The vendor has wasted
money
adapting its equipment for the specs of that bite of bandwidth. By contrast,
developing
a pluralistic market, populated by companies with diverse
business models, will enable a vendor to invest secure in the knowledge that he’s not dependent upon the
vicissitudes of a single company.
If
Johnson can persuade equipment vendors to make those
investments, he then has a broader range of technology
to offer telecom companies. Eventually, he sees his two
bands of spectrum stimulating a virtuous feedback loop
in which wireless operators and equipment suppliers push
the frontier of innovation. His challenge, he says, is
to “catalyze” that process.
Johnson
was reticent to describe just how he hopes to accomplish
that goal in a market dominated by multi-billion giants
and loads of alternative spectrum. His strategy is
certainly not evident from First
Avenue’s
organizational structure. The company’s three
employees include a president and CEO, a CFO and a vice
president of business development – First Avenue
has
more directors (five) than employees! That seems like a
small staff to initiate contacts, field queries and
negotiate complex leasing deals – no matter how many
outside consultants and attorneys the firm employs.
Johnson
acknowledges the challenge: “People aren’t
accustomed to having this many choices in
telecommunications transmission media. [Until recently,]
it’s just been been fiber or copper. Wireless has not
been mainstream.” But the clear advantages of
wireless, combined with the flexibility of his business
model and the creativity of free and competitive
markets, gives him confidence that First
Avenue
will
help define the future of the wireless industry.
-- July 28, 2004
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